Football Prediction Models
Leakage-safe match-prediction pipelines with CatBoost — SHAP feature selection, calibration and walk-forward validation.
PythonCatBoostscikit-learnpandaspytest
Built leakage-safe match-prediction pipelines with CatBoost, SHAP-based feature selection, probability calibration and walk-forward validation. As a sanity check on the edge, I backtested a Serie A draw-gap strategy that returned >30% ROI over the last eight seasons.
- ▪Leakage-safe pipelines: SHAP selection, calibration, walk-forward validation
- ▪>30% ROI backtest on a Serie A draw-gap strategy (8 seasons)